SupplierBusiness : Hybrid Vehicles and Components Report

Abstract

Interest in hybrid vehicle technology has primarily arisen from the quest for improved fuel efficiency and lower emissions, as the issues of pollution and a finite global oil supply gain increasing worldwide attention. Related to this, automotive manufacturers have made fleet average fuel economy commitments, such as CAFE in the US and the ACEA agreement in Europe, put under pressure by the popularity of SUVs and luxury vehicles. The ' green' credentials of hybrids have proven attractive to consumers, national and state governments, and manufacturers, with the latter also wishing to cultivate an image of technological leadership. Latterly, the technology is being applied to inherently high-fuel-consumption vehicles, such as SUVs, and luxury sedans in order to help sustain the popularity they have enjoyed in recent years. Concept unveilings have also included sports cars in which the electric drive adds power without the penalty of poorer fuel economy. While these shifts in application are criticised by environmentalists, hybrid manufacturers defend the strategy by insisting that fleet fuel efficiency gains are still being achieved.

Executive summary

1. Introduction

1.1. History

2. Drivers of hybrid vehicle development

3. Types of hybrid vehicle

3.1. Series hybrids
3.2. Parallel hybrids
3.3. Series/parallel hybrids
3.4. Full hybrid
3.5. Mild or assist hybrids
3.6. One-mode and two-mode hybrids

4. Strategic overview

4.1. North America
4.2. Asia
4.3. Europe

5. OEM hybrid strategies

5.1. General Motors
5.2. Ford
5.3. Volkswagen
5.4. Daimler
5.5. BMW
5.6. Toyota
5.7. Honda
5.8. Nissan
5.9. Renault
5.10. Hyundai
5.11. Chrysler
5.12. Proprietary versus licensed hybrid technology

6. Incentives

6.1. Fuel economy
6.2. Hybrid incentives and taxation
6.3. North America
6.4. Europe
6.5. Japan
6.6. China
6.7. Hong Kong

7. Barriers to success

7.1. Cost
7.2. Conventional vehicles
7.3. Competing technologies

8. Markets and market forecasts

8.1. The global light vehicle market
8.2. The hybrid market to date
8.3. United States
8.4. Europe
8.5. Japan
8.6. Hybrid market forecasts
8.7. USA
8.8. Europe
8.9. Japan

9. Technology development

9.1. Competition for high performance diesel technology
9.2. Diesel hybrids
9.3. Fuel Cells
9.4. Battery technology
9.5. Regenerative Braking
9.6. Plug-in hybrids
9.7. Electric motors
9.8. 42-volt electrical systems
9.9. Hybrid transmissions
9.10. Integrated Starter Alternator Damper (ISAD)
9.11. Belt Alternator Starter (BAS)
9.12. Electronic components

10. Hybrid Component Suppliers

Aisin AW
Allison Transmission
Azure Dynamics
Bosch
Cobasys
Continental
Denso
Eaton
Hitachi
JATCO
Johnson Controls
Keihin
Maxwell Technologies
NessCap
Saft
Sanyo
Sumitomo Wiring
TDK
Toyota Industries
UQM
Visteon
Yazaki
ZF

Table of Figures and Tables

Figure 1 Alternative powertrain strategies - North America
Figure 2 Carbon dioxide emissions versus cost per percentage fuel reduction
Figure 3 Ratio of engine and motor operation in hybrid system
Figure 4 Hybrid electric vehicle drive configurations
Figure 5 Phase out credit calendar
Figure 6 Edmunds estimates of hybrid payback periods (years)
Figure 7 Global hybrid car sales
Figure 8 US Hybrid Sales Figures 2000 - 2007
Figure 9 US Hybrid market shares 2007
Figure 10 Western Europe hybrid production forecast
Figure 11 Worldwide Toyota Prius sales 1997 - 2007
Figure 12 Toyota Prius sales in Japan, 1998 to 2005
Figure 13 Global hybrid vehicle production by region, 2005 - 2010
Figure 14 Global hybrid vehicle production by region, 2005 - 2010
Figure 15 US hybrid sales forecast, 2006 - 2012
Figure 16 ' Early adopters only' forecast scenario for hybrid sales in Europe
Figure 17 Mass market opportunity' forecast scenario for hybrid sales in Europe
Figure 18 Global components market for light hybrid vehicles ($m), 2005 - 2010
Figure 19 Payback periods for Golf diesel and Honda Civic hybrids in the US
Figure 20 Diesel share of new car registrations in Western Europe
Figure 21 PEM Fuel Cell
Figure 22 A Ragone plot showing energy density vs power density for various energy-storage devices
Figure 23 Energy density versus Output density in battery systems
Figure 24 System schematic with vehicle class
Figure 25 Emissions relative to vehicle type
Figure 26 One-Mode Hybrid Input-Split EVT
Figure 27 One-Mode Hybrid Input-Split EVT
Figure 28 Two-Mode Hybrid with Input-Split and Compound-Split EVT Modes
Figure 29 Two-Mode Hybrid Input-Split EVT
Figure 30 Two mode hybrid transmission
Figure 31 Continental' s ISAD
Figure 32 Delphi' s BAS
Figure 33 Global Automotive Semiconductor Market ($m), 2005-2010
Figure 34 Electronic Components Market Growth ($m), 2005-2010

Table 1: Fuel Economy/ GHG for Vehicles Worldwide
Table 2 EPA Combined cycle versus Consumer Guide average, hybrids (mpg*)
Table 3 Toyota Prius Tax Credit Timeline
Table 4 Hybrid versus Diesel Payback Periods
Table 5 US hybrid sales 2000 - 2007
Table 6 US 2007 Hybrid car sales according to manufacturer' s figures